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Automation Could Displace 800 Million Workers Worldwide By 2030, Study Says
Automation Could Displace 800 Million Workers Worldwide By 2030, Study Says : All Tech Considered But in the long term, new technology could create more jobs than it eliminates, a new report says. A coming wave of job automation could force between 400 million and 800 million people worldwide out of a job in the next 13 years, according to a new study. A report released this week from the research arm of the consulting firm McKinsey & Company forecasts scenarios in which 3 percent to 14 percent of workers around the world – in 75 million to 375 million jobs – will have to acquire new skills and switch occupations by 2030. The impact will vary between countries, depending on their wealth and types of jobs that currently exist in each. In 60 percent of jobs worldwide, “At least one-third of the constituent activities could be automated,” McKinsey says, which would mean a big change in what people do day-to-day. McKinsey looked at 46 countries and more than 800 different jobs in its research. McKinsey estimates less than 5 percent of jobs can be fully automated. Jobs that pay “Relatively lower wages” and aren’t as predictable are less likely to face full automation, because businesses don’t have as much incentive to spend on the technology. This applies to jobs like gardening, plumbing and child care, according to the authors. In the short term, automation and new technology could mean “Significant” displacement of workers, the report says. The authors argue that in the long term as technology has changed, “It creates a multitude of new jobs, more than offsetting” the number of those lost. “But their spending patterns also shift, creating more jobs in areas such as consumer durables, leisure activities, financial and telecommunication services, housing, health care, and education.” Tech jobs will be needed as technology advances, like “Computer scientists, engineers and IT administrators,” who could see job growth as companies spend more in this area, the report says. Jobs gained “Could more than offset the jobs lost to automation,” the researchers say.